Budget Projections
Latest
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Debt Rises to 175% of GDP Under CBO’s Long-Term Outlook
Read moreThe national debt will rise to 175% of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) by 2056 – or $168 trillion – according to the Congressional Budget Office's (CBO)...
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Net Interest Costs Will Double, Again, Over the Next Decade
Read moreNet interest on the national debt, the fastest growing part of the budget, is projected to more than double from $970 billion in Fiscal Year (FY) 2025...
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$10 Trillion to Get to 3% and Other Fiscal Goals
Read moreDeficits would need to be reduced by $9.5 trillion over the next decade to stabilize debt at 100% of Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Roughly $10...
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Chartbook: The February 2026 CBO Baseline: What It Says (and What It Means)
Read moreOn February 18, 2026, Chris Towner, policy director of the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, gave a presentation on the February 2026...
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CBO Releases February 2026 Budget and Economic Outlook
Read moreThe Congressional Budget Office (CBO) just released its February 2026 Budget and Economic Outlook, its first full ten-year baseline and economic...
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CBO’s February 2026 Budget and Economic Outlook
Read moreThe Congressional Budget Office (CBO) released its February 2026 Budget and Economic Outlook today, updating its January 2025 baseline to account for...
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CRFB Releases Updated Debt Fixer
Read moreWe recently updated our interactive Debt Fixer tool, where users can choose between several options to make changes to the federal budget and...
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Top 13 Fiscal Charts of 2025
Read moreIt was an eventful year for fiscal policy in 2025. With large parts of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) set to expire, lawmakers used the...
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New Paper Estimates Upper Limit on Debt
Read moreIn a new working paper published by the National Bureau of Economic Research, economists Vadim Elenev, Tim Landvoigt, and Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh...
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Trillion-Dollar Interest Payments Are the New Norm
Read moreAs the national debt continues to climb toward record levels – totaling 100% of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) at the end of Fiscal Year (FY) 2025 –...
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CBO Estimates 2025 Deficit Totaled $1.8 Trillion
Read moreThe federal budget deficit totaled $1.8 trillion in Fiscal Year (FY) 2025, based on estimates from the Congressional Budget Office (CBO), roughly...
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Mid-Session Review Offers a Dose of Fiscal Fantasy
Read moreThe White House Office of Management and Budget (OMB) recently released its Mid-Session Review (MSR) for the President’s Fiscal Year (FY) 2026 budget...