CBO Estimates $2.0 Trillion Deficit for Fiscal Year 2026

The United States borrowed $2.0 trillion in FY 2026, including $28 billion in the month of September, according to the latest Monthly Budget Review from the Congressional Budget Office (CBO). We expect to hear more details on FY 2026 from CBO next month.

The following is a statement from Maya MacGuineas, president of the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget:

Fiscal Year 2026 has come to an end and CBO confirmed our estimate that the deficit totaled $2 trillion. That’s over $200 billion more than last fiscal year and ranks among the highest deficits in our history – and the highest ever outside of a war or recession. It is no surprise that interest rates have climbed so much over the past few months.

Instead of following the same broken pattern, policymakers should set a fiscal new year's resolution to fix our unsustainable fiscal situation. They should commit to no new borrowing, including by requiring any new costs to come with double the amount of savings, invoking Super PAYGO. And with the nation’s major trust funds – the largest being the Social Security retirement trust fund – facing insolvency in the coming years, both sides of the aisle should work together to restore solvency and avoid the automatic across-the-board benefit and payment cuts.

A new fiscal year means an opportunity for change, and though it is not always easy, it is necessary. Policymakers can start by adopting an attainable fiscal goal – such as bringing deficits down to 3% of the economy, or about half of where they are today – and commit to achieving it, which can be done through a bipartisan fiscal commission that examines all areas of the budget.  

Clearly, we can’t keep going like we have. Our fiscal path has been running backwards for far too long; it’s time to start working on the path forward. 

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For more information, please contact Matt Klucher, Assistant Director for Media Relations, at klucher@crfb.org.