Latest
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Break Glass: A Plan for the Next Economic Shock
Read moreThe U.S. has never experienced an economic shock as indebted as we are today. Recessions and other economic shocks are inevitable. Although the timing...
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12-Month Rolling Deficit is $1.6 Trillion in February 2026
Read moreThe federal government borrowed $1.6 trillion over the past year – March 2025 to February 2026 – based on estimates from the Congressional Budget...
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CBO Estimates $1 Trillion Deficit for First Five Months of FY 2026
Read moreThe United States borrowed $1.0 trillion in the first five months of Fiscal Year (FY) 2026, including $308 billion in February, according to the...
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CBO Projects Possible Debt Spiral, as R Exceeds G
Read moreThe U.S. national debt has long been on an unsustainable path. Nonetheless, for most of the 20th century, debt sustainability has been bolstered by...
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CRFB Releases Social Security: Just the Facts
Read moreSocial Security is the bedrock of the U.S. retirement system, providing benefits for 70 million Americans. And yet, with the program projected to be...
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How Much Will Trump’s New 10% (or 15%) Tariffs Raise?
Read moreUPDATE (March 5, 2025): CBO estimated the Supreme Court ruling that IEPPA tariffs are illegal will reduce revenue by $1.6 trillion through 2036...
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Debt Rises to 175% of GDP Under CBO’s Long-Term Outlook
Read moreThe national debt will rise to 175% of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) by 2056 – or $168 trillion – according to the Congressional Budget Office's (CBO)...
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Maya MacGuineas: America Needs a Social Security Commission
Read moreMaya MacGuineas is president of the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget. She recently wrote an opinion piece for the Dallas Morning News , the...
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Trump CEA Projections Tracker
Read moreBefore the passage of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA), the White House Council of Economic Advisers (CEA) released economic and fiscal...
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Fiscal Contingency Preparedness Act (FCPA) Frequently Asked Questions
Read moreAmid the growing bipartisan interest in the Fiscal Contingency Preparedness Act (FCPA), below are some frequently asked questions and answers about...
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CBO Projects High Federal Health Program Costs
Read moreFederal health programs will cost over $26 trillion through 2036, under the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) baseline, making health care the largest...
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Net Interest Costs Will Double, Again, Over the Next Decade
Read moreNet interest on the national debt, the fastest growing part of the budget, is projected to more than double from $970 billion in Fiscal Year (FY) 2025...