CRFB Budget Experts' Poll: 70% Chance of Shutdown

In our second round of unscientific polling of budget experts, they now place the chance of a government shutdown in October at 70 percent – up from 58 percent three weeks ago. Twelve percent of respondents now think it is less likely than they thought three weeks ago, 27 percent did not alter their predictions, and 61 percent think the odds have grown.